There is inherent risk in the stock market. No published signal is guaranteed to be profitable. Each viewer should do due diligence to determine investment suitability.
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The Tsunami Indicator is our way of calling market tops.
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Page for signals generated and profit/loss
This website is designed to inform people about the stock market, not take their money and run. A free subscription, too. While mutual funds have millions and millions of dollars to move around, smaller accounts can do better.
The aim of this website is to outperform the market. Now isn't that a novel idea?
Use this website to give you an alternate opinion of the stock market, timing and stock picks.
This website is a compendium of stock market systems that may be used by investors. Here are a few that may be of interest:
1) Conservative portfolio for conservative investors. This is a 10 stock (average) portfolio of large cap stocks.
2) Aggressive portfolio for the more adventurous investor. This is a 7 stock (average) portfolio of stocks.
3) Timing portfolio for the very aggressive investor. This is a 5 stock (maximum) portfolio stocks.
4) ETF portfolio for the investor that want diversity. This averages 5 ETF's.
5) There is a portfolio offered on www.collective2.com called One Stock Wonder. It is a "swing for the fences" system that can climb high but can have drawdowns of up to 40%.
6) There is a portfolio doing a walk forward test to be offered on Folio Investing to feature 10 ETF's for large accounts. There will be a post to say when it will be offered to the public.
7) I have a 50 stock backtest of a Value type simulation with 28% turnover per year that gets about 10% a year since 2001. This invests in stocks with 500,000 averge share volume per day. I also have a Growth type simulation with 10% turnover per year that gets about 10% a year since 2001. These two are now doing a walk forward test on Folio Investing. I wil post when they are ready to be available to the public.
Folio Investing
At Moon Run Report, our role is to help you make better investments while saving you time and money. That’s why we have partnered with Folio Investing, a low cost online brokerage that is designed around diversified portfolio investing for the self-directed investor.
Smart Investing, Made Simple
The foundation of portfolio investing is that it’s smarter to invest regularly in a well-diversified portfolio, instead of hoping to pick the right stock at the right time. Whether you’re a novice or experienced investor, Folio Investing makes it easy to benefit from the power and flexibility of portfolio investing.
At Folio Investing, you can manage stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds as an integrated investment portfolio called a “Folio.” You can trade securities individually just like at other brokerages, but you can also trade your whole portfolio in a single transaction – and you can do it all commission free.
Low, Flat Fee Pricing
In addition to traditional transaction based pricing, Folio Investing offers a unique flat fee pricing plan that provides you with unlimited commission-free window trades in as many accounts as you need for one low monthly or annual fee. For no additional charge you can also use Ready-to-Go Folios such as target retirement date portfolios, and an online Investor Questionnaire, to help you can build and maintain a diversified investment portfolio that matches your needs.
Try Before You Buy
Visit Folio Investing today to open your account. If you are not satisfied with our flat fee pricing during the first 60 days, then simply close your account without incurring any account fees.1
Questions?
If you have questions or need assistance, please visit Folio Investing online or call 888.973.7890.
Folio Investing won’t begin charging monthly or annual subscription fees on the Folio Unlimited Plan until two months after you deposit funds into your account. Charges for special services and market, limit, stop and stop-limit orders will apply.
Intent of this website
In the stock market, there are a great many opinions of how to invest, whether conservative or aggressive. Also, when it comes to market timing, there are many who will write it off and say "market timing doesn't work" without actually investigating the possibilities. My goal is to post my analysis and a few collection of stock picks that I feel that will do well. This is not a fee pay website. All my analysis is free. I expect to make money in the market, not fleece the public with a questionable toolbox or "timing and charting" services that are impossible to do as well as the author did.
Yes, I feel that market timing does work, but it takes effort and time that the public may not have to spend. For large accounts, usually a balanced approach with index equity funds and bond funds will suffice. Why try to do better than the market by 1% or 2% when and index fund can give enough performance? To do better than the market, the holder of just a few dollars may want to take the risk.
This website will give me the opportunity to share my results and broadcast to investors analysis that they themselves may find interesting. I have read many books and tried many avenues of investing, so I feel I am prepared to join the many in the fight for profits. However, keep in mind that the reader may have his own ideas so this site is to provide an alternate point of view for those that may want a second opinion.
Glossary:
Bullish means that the timing signal expects the designated market to rise in price
Bearish means that the timing signal expects the designated market to fall in price
Long means that we buy the stock. Sometimes that stock appreciates when prices fall in the designated market
Short means that we sell the stock short by borrowing shares and selling them, expecting the market to fall
Note to managers of large accounts, mutual funds and hedge funds: The matter of interest to you may be the Tsunami indicator. This forewarning of impending doom in the stock market may be worth your while of investigation. To raise cash and perhaps buy puts would not interfere with your manner of investing during bullish periods. To “weed the garden”, so to speak, would be of interest to keep in step with the market and avoid large drops. You may email me to discuss this.
This website started on March 5, 2009.
Currently the website will be free, with updates posted on a timely basis.